Lesley L. Smith

Position

Research Associate

Division

Attribution and Predictability Assessments Team

Affiliation

CIRES

Contact

(303) 497-6172

lesley.l.smith@noaa.gov

All plots preliminary. Right click to see bigger versions.
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New

El Nino Rapid Response GFS Data

main GFS ENRRR page here
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Composites of differences normalized by 2016 non-flight days (0121-0331)

Deep tropics flights 0122 0126 0127 0203 0213 0216 0227 0228 0301 0302

Average

Temperature
GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast

GFS 0Z 3h Forecast minus 18Z 9h Forecast

GFS 0Z 6h Forecast minus 18Z 12h Forecast

GFS 0Z 12h Forecast minus 18Z 18h Forecast

GFS 0Z 24h Forecast minus 18Z 30h Forecast

GFS 0Z 36h Forecast minus 18Z 42h Forecast

GFS 0Z 48h Forecast minus 18Z 54h Forecast

Zonal Wind:
GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast

GFS 0Z 3h Forecast minus 18Z 9h Forecast

GFS 0Z 6h Forecast minus 18Z 12h Forecast

GFS 0Z 12h Forecast minus 18Z 18h Forecast

GFS 0Z 24h Forecast minus 18Z 30h Forecast

GFS 0Z 36h Forecast minus 18Z 42h Forecast

GFS 0Z 48h Forecast minus 18Z 54h Forecast

Meridional Wind:
GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast

GFS 0Z 3h Forecast minus 18Z 9h Forecast

GFS 0Z 6h Forecast minus 18Z 12h Forecast

GFS 0Z 12h Forecast minus 18Z 18h Forecast

GFS 0Z 24h Forecast minus 18Z 30h Forecast

GFS 0Z 36h Forecast minus 18Z 42h Forecast

GFS 0Z 48h Forecast minus 18Z 54h Forecast

Relative Humidity:
GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast

GFS 0Z 3h Forecast minus 18Z 9h Forecast

GFS 0Z 6h Forecast minus 18Z 12h Forecast

GFS 0Z 12h Forecast minus 18Z 18h Forecast

GFS 0Z 24h Forecast minus 18Z 30h Forecast

GFS 0Z 36h Forecast minus 18Z 42h Forecast

GFS 0Z 48h Forecast minus 18Z 54h Forecast

Height
GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast

GFS 0Z 3h Forecast minus 18Z 9h Forecast

GFS 0Z 6h Forecast minus 18Z 12h Forecast

GFS 0Z 12h Forecast minus 18Z 18h Forecast

GFS 0Z 24h Forecast minus 18Z 30h Forecast

GFS 0Z 36h Forecast minus 18Z 42h Forecast

GFS 0Z 48h Forecast minus 18Z 54h Forecast

Root-Mean-Square:

Temperature:
GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast

GFS 0Z 3h Forecast minus 18Z 9h Forecast

GFS 0Z 6h Forecast minus 18Z 12h Forecast

GFS 0Z 12h Forecast minus 18Z 18h Forecast

GFS 0Z 24h Forecast minus 18Z 30h Forecast

GFS 0Z 36h Forecast minus 18Z 42h Forecast

GFS 0Z 48h Forecast minus 18Z 54h Forecast

Semi-deep tropics flights 0130 0131 0204 0215 0217 0218 0219 0304

different levels:

Average:

Root-Mean-Square: