Lesley L. Smith – Re. Wildland Fire Potential

All plots preliminary.        

Fire Weather and Vapor Pressure Deficit Prediction    

GEFSv12 Forecast Data

20250402

Vapor Pressure Deficit

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Precipitation

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

Dew Point Temperature

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

200mb Geopotential Height

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

850mb Geopotential Height

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

Surface Geopotential Height

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

Precipitable Water

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

Soil Moisture

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

200mb Specific humidity

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

850mb Specific humidity

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

200mb Temperature

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

850mb Temperature

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

2m Temperature

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

200mb Zonal Wind

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

850mb Zonal Wind

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

Upward Longwave Radiation Flux

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

200mb Meridional Wind

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

850mb Meridional Wind

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

Snow Depth Water Equivalent

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

200mb Wind Speed

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Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)

850mb Wind Speed

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Weekly means

Weekly maximums

Cross Correlation with VPD (lag_0 along all forecast hours)