NOAA El Niño Rapid Response Field Campaign - Forecasting Resources

Medium Range Forecast Resources

Model Products

• NCEP Model Guidance
• CFSv2 Forecast of Weekly Climate Anomalies
• UW-Madison Computer Model Forecast Maps
• Penn State E-Wall Products
  • ECMWF and Other Longer Range Model Loops
• Tropical Tidbits Model Products
• U Hawaii GFS Precip Forecasts
• Kyle Griffin's GFS North Pacific Forecast Maps
  • North Pacific IRRWind Animation

Precipitation Forecasts

• PSL's GEFS-Reforecast2 California Medium-Range Precipitation Forecasts
• California/Nevada RFC Area Precipitation Forecast

Model Comparisons

8-10 Day 500 Mb Mean

Go to PSU E-Wall

PSL Experimental GEFS Comparisons

PSL is running Version 10 of the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) (not the NCEP Operational GEFS (version 11)) in an experimental mode comparing observed and climatological SSTs. The maps below compare the two runs for weekly averages. NOTE: Skill statistics of this PSL version of the GEFS model are not to be used as a proxy for the skill of the NCEP operational model.

• Daily Weather Maps

Model Run: 00Z

Comparison Maps - Analyzed SST minus Climo SST